With Brad Wall’s tenure as Premier of Saskatchewan coming to a close, here’s a summary of provincial economic metrics over the last decade.
With NAFTA renegotiations on the horizon, the Saskatchewan-U.S. trade balance becomes vulnerable to shifting in favour of our southern neighbours.
After two years of decline, capital investment in Saskatchewan is expected to climb higher in 2017, albeit by a moderate amount.
As an industry, wholesale trade flies under the radar, especially compared to its more popular and monitored cousin – retail trade. However, over the past ten years the industry has been an important driver for growth in the Saskatoon Region, with data showing that provincial wholesale trade volumes nearly doubled from 2006 to 2016 – the fastest growth of any province.
Back in 2007 average weekly wages in Saskatchewan were more than 5% below the national average. Fast forward to Q4 2016 and wages in Saskatchewan have increased to be above the Canadian average and third highest among all provinces.
Since reaching the low point of the current cycle in November 2015, Saskatchewan manufacturing shipments have been grinding steadily higher.
After booming along with the broader economy between 2010 and 2015, residential construction activity in the Saskatoon Region cooled off slightly in 2016.
Falling commodity prices weighed heavily on the value of Saskatchewan’s exports in late 2015 and much of 2016. However, according to data released by Statistics Canada last week, exporters in this province are on track to finish 2016 on a high note.
2016 wasn’t the easiest year economically for the prairies as prices for many commodities reached multi-year lows. However annual employment data shows that the diversity and resilience of the Saskatoon Region economy allowed it to handle the commodity storm relatively well.
Demographics can have an important impact on economic growth. Fortunately for the City of Bridges, data compiled by Statistics Canada indicates Saskatoon has the youngest population in Canada – and by a fairly wide margin.
Population data released by Statistics Canada shows that Saskatchewan’s population grew at a rate of 0.41% during Q3 – in line with the Canadian average of 0.43%.
Interest rates in Canada and the U.S. have been really low ever since the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. Yesterday the U.S. Central Bank (the Federal Reserve) raised rates slightly, and while this doesn’t directly impact borrowers in Canada, it does have the potential to eventually influence rates in Canada and other financial variables such as the CAD/USD exchange rate.
Data released by Statistics Canada this week shows Saskatchewan exports perked up in October, surging to their highest level of the year.
Data released by Statistics Canada on Friday indicates that the Saskatoon Region economy added jobs for the fifth consecutive month in November 2016.
Through the first three quarters of 2016 Saskatchewan farm cash receipts totaled just under $10.0B ($9.998B to be exact). This amount is down slightly from the first three quarters of 2015 when provincial farm cash receipts reached a record $10.1B, but is up from $9.4B during Q1-Q3 2014.
The Canadian dollar started this year off at its lowest level against the U.S. dollar in over 10 years. Since then the loonie has risen, however by historical standards it remains low.
After experiencing some of the strongest growth in retail spending across all provinces between 2010 and 2013, Saskatchewan retail activity has cooled off in 2015 and 2016.
Saskatchewan manufacturing shipments rose 1% in September 2016 to $1.24B (seasonally adjusted), their highest monthly level since January 2015.
With the decline in oil prices over the last two years, Canadians have enjoyed lower gasoline prices at the pumps.
After experiencing a building boom from 2007 to 2014 (except for 2009), the Saskatoon residential construction market has slowed to a more sustainable pace since the start of 2015.
Construction is a key sector within the Saskatoon Region economy. Recently spending on a large number of non-residential projects has buoyed this sector.
Despite the recent economic slowdown in the provincial economy, Saskatchewan’s population has continued to climb higher. But what’s actually been driving that population growth may come as a surprise to some.
Data released yesterday by Statistics Canada shows that Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted by an annualized 1.6% in Q2 2016. This is the largest contraction since Q2 2009, when the world was mired in the global financial crisis.
Back during the boom, wage growth in Saskatchewan was among the strongest in the country. Recently, growth in earnings has cooled down, but as data released yesterday points out, wages in Saskatchewan remain among the highest in the country.
Back in February, SREDA released its Saskatoon Region Economic Diversity Report. This report highlighted the Region’s diversified economy, outlining the range of industries supporting the population. The backbone of this diverse economy is an army of small businesses.
Maybe it was the weather or maybe it was pent up demand. Whatever the reason, Saskatchewanians didn’t hold back on their shopping needs (or wants) in June.
Given some of the less than stellar news stories emanating from the Saskatchewan manufacturing sector recently (including job losses), yesterday’s manufacturing shipment survey from Statistics Canada provides a welcome dose of positive news.
The slowdown in the Western Canadian economy has been well broadcast and according to a recent survey done as part of the SREDA NewsFlash, that melancholy sentiment is echoed by the local community.
While residential construction activity remains slow compared to recent years, the number of new homes being started in the Saskatoon Region moved higher for the second consecutive month in July.
After a tough stretch in which the Saskatoon Region economy saw job losses in six of the last seven months, employers changed their tune and recorded a solid gain to payrolls in July.
While the slowdown in new housing construction (i.e. housing starts) in Saskatchewan has been well broadcast, what has been less publicized is the strong level of renovation activity that has continued unabated.
Despite the slowing economy, Saskatchewanians have continued to enjoy a meal out of the house thus far into 2016.
When consumers feel optimistic about things such as their job prospects and finances, they often show it by hitting the streets and dropping their hard earned cash at stores.
When the private sector economy slows down, one of the best things governments can do to counteract this is to simply build stuff . And that appears to be exactly what’s happened in Saskatoon in 2016.
In contrast to skyrocketing home prices in Toronto and Vancouver that have vexed regulators concerned about affordability, housing prices in Saskatoon have remained fairly stable.
Despite some wet-soggy weather during the month, builders in Saskatoon started construction on a higher number of residential dwellings in June 2016.
Employment has dropped slightly in June 2016. SREDA Insights provides a quick summary of the reasons why and if we should be concerned.
We know Saskatchewan’s minimum wage is increasing, but how does Saskatchewan compare to other provinces? How is the minimum wage calculated? What’s the impact on Saskatoon businesses? Will it increase again? SREDA Insights provides a quick summary of this issue.